Is 45 minutes enough at PHX? 20% of inbound flights landed too late for it, allowing 30 minutes to reach the next gate. Book 75 minutes to keep the risk under 1 in 10, or 90 in July.
Separately, 1.2% of flights into PHX were cancelled or diverted (1.6% in July). That isn't a missed connection in the same sense: on one booking the airline rebooks you, though it can still cost you the day.
Check your exact itinerary through PHX →
Missed-connection risk by layover and month
Share of flights that landed at PHX too late for the connection (cancellations not included), pooled over 2023–2026. Read across your travel month.
| Layover | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 min | 23% | 21% | 23% | 24% | 26% | 30% | 30% | 25% | 21% | 23% | 22% | 22% | 25% |
| 50 min | 15% | 13% | 16% | 15% | 18% | 21% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 18% |
| 60 min | 11% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 13% |
| 75 min | 8% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 9% |
| 90 min | 6% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 7% |
| 120 min | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% |
Counts flights that landed; cancelled and diverted inbound flights are reported separately above. Assumes 30 minutes to get off the plane and reach the next gate, and that the onward flight leaves on time. A terminal change or re-checking bags needs more.
Late in the day is riskier
Share of flights that would miss a 60-minute connection, by scheduled arrival time at PHX (past 12 months). Delays pile up through the day.
Riskiest flights in
| From | Flights | Miss 60 min |
|---|---|---|
| ORD Chicago | 5,631 | 19% |
| SFO San Francisco | 4,806 | 18% |
| DFW Dallas | 5,258 | 18% |
| SAN San Diego | 6,591 | 17% |
| DAL Dallas | 2,867 | 16% |
| JFK New York | 3,097 | 16% |
| DTW Detroit | 2,374 | 16% |
| STL St. Louis | 2,309 | 16% |
| DEN Denver | 9,069 | 16% |
| ATL Atlanta | 3,693 | 15% |
| MDW Chicago | 2,719 | 15% |
| LAS Las Vegas | 6,012 | 15% |
Safest flights in
| From | Flights | Miss 60 min |
|---|---|---|
| HNL Honolulu | 1,317 | 8% |
| RNO Reno | 2,438 | 9% |
| SBA Santa Barbara | 1,432 | 10% |
| GEG Spokane | 1,264 | 10% |
| SLC Salt Lake City | 5,778 | 10% |
| CMH Columbus | 1,141 | 10% |
| ONT Ontario | 3,011 | 10% |
| BOI Boise | 2,346 | 10% |
| SNA Santa Ana | 4,636 | 10% |
| YUM Yuma | 1,322 | 11% |
| ABQ Albuquerque | 3,302 | 11% |
| MRY Monterey | 1,370 | 11% |
Last flights of the day from PHX
If your inbound runs late and you miss one of these, the next flight is usually the next morning. Typical last scheduled departure over the past three months:
| To | Last departure | Flights / day |
|---|---|---|
| IAH Houston | 6:47 p.m. | 7.5 |
| MSP Minneapolis | 6:50 p.m. | 6.8 |
| DAL Dallas | 6:50 p.m. | 7.3 |
| DFW Dallas | 7:05 p.m. | 14.3 |
| ORD Chicago | 7:09 p.m. | 13.9 |
| MDW Chicago | 7:12 p.m. | 6.8 |
| MCI Kansas City | 7:32 p.m. | 5.9 |
| SAT San Antonio | 7:38 p.m. | 6.2 |
| AUS Austin | 7:44 p.m. | 7.9 |
| BUR Burbank | 8:10 p.m. | 8.6 |
| SJC San Jose | 8:55 p.m. | 6.9 |
| SNA Santa Ana | 9:07 p.m. | 12.8 |
| DEN Denver | 9:30 p.m. | 22 |
| LAX Los Angeles | 9:30 p.m. | 19.6 |
| SAN San Diego | 9:30 p.m. | 18.5 |
| SLC Salt Lake City | 9:30 p.m. | 14.3 |
| SFO San Francisco | 9:30 p.m. | 12.6 |
| PDX Portland | 9:35 p.m. | 10 |
| SMF Sacramento | 9:40 p.m. | 8.5 |
| SEA Seattle | 9:45 p.m. | 18.4 |
| RNO Reno | 9:45 p.m. | 7 |
| ABQ Albuquerque | 9:48 p.m. | 7.9 |
| ONT Ontario | 9:50 p.m. | 7.3 |
| ELP El Paso | 9:53 p.m. | 6.3 |
| TUS Tucson | 9:78 p.m. | 10.2 |
| LAS Las Vegas | 10:30 p.m. | 15.4 |
| JFK New York | 11:06 p.m. | 8.2 |
| CLT Charlotte | 11:35 p.m. | 7.7 |
| ATL Atlanta | 11:56 p.m. | 9 |
| EWR Newark | 11:57 p.m. | 6.5 |
Questions
Is 45 minutes enough for a connection at PHX?
Often, not always. Over the past year 20% of flights into Phoenix landed too late to leave 30 minutes to reach the next gate on a 45-minute layover. With 60 minutes it was 13%; with 90, 7%. Separately, 1.2% of inbound flights were cancelled or diverted; on one booking the airline rebooks you.
How long a layover do I need at PHX?
To keep the risk of a late inbound below 1 in 10, about 75 minutes on an average month and 90 minutes in July, the worst month. Add time if you change terminals or need to re-check bags.
An estimate from past arrival delays, not a guarantee. On one ticket, the airline will rebook you if you misconnect. On separate tickets you're on your own, so leave far more time. Method.