80% of flights from Santa Ana to Santa Rosa arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is about the typical U.S. route. The 11 a.m. departures ran on time 80% of the time; the 5 p.m. ones 74%. 8% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.
How late?
The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for SNA → STS: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 52% of the time. About 1 in 14 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 124 three hours or more; 0.5% were cancelled outright.
- On time or early80%
- 15–30 min late5.9%
- 30–60 min late6.3%
- 1–2 hours late4.4%
- 2–3 hours late1.9%
- 3+ hours late0.8%
- Diverted0.5%
- Cancelled0.5%
Share of all 745 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.
By airline
| Airline | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Typical arrival | 1h+ late | Avg when late | Operated by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska Airlines | 745 | 80% | 0.5% | −11 min | 7.1% | +63 min | SkyWest |
Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.
Best time of day to fly
On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at SNA). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.
Last flight of the day
On SNA → STS, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 0.9% of the time, against 0.3% for its earlier flights (3.5× as often). It arrived 3+ hours late 0.6% of the time (earlier flights: 1.1%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.
| Airline | Last departure | Last: cancelled | Last: 3h+ late | Earlier: cancelled | Next morning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska Airlines | 7:14 p.m. | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | first flight 11:48 a.m. |
Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.
If you need to be in STS tonight, book an earlier flight so there's a backup if it's cancelled.
By month
Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: January (88%). Worst: July (72%).
By day of week
| Day | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 113 | 78% | 0.0% |
| Tuesday | 101 | 83% | 2.0% |
| Wednesday | 100 | 85% | 0.0% |
| Thursday | 109 | 82% | 0.0% |
| Friday | 111 | 70% | 0.9% |
| Saturday | 100 | 80% | 1.0% |
| Sunday | 111 | 80% | 0.0% |
Why flights were late
Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.
Cancellations: weather 2 · airline 1 · air traffic/airport 1
Month by month
Not enough months with data to draw a trend.
Flight numbers on this route
Regular flights with at least 120 scheduled trips in the past year. Sorted by departure time.
| Flight | Departs | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Typical arrival | Operated by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS 3467 | 11:48 a.m. | 315 | 80% | 0.0% | −12 min | SkyWest |
| AS 3432 | 7:14 p.m. | 182 | 83% | 0.5% | −15 min | SkyWest |
Worst days in the past year
| Date | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 0% | 0 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 0% | 0 |
| Dec 24, 2025 | 3 | 33% | 0 |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 33% | 1 |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 33% | 0 |
Nearby airport alternatives
Other ways to make the same trip, using airports within 60 miles of Santa Ana or Santa Rosa. LAX → STS has been 5 points more reliable.
| Route | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| SNA → STS (this route) | 745 | 80% | 0.5% |
| LAX → STS Los Angeles LAX to Charles M. Schulz Sonoma | 854 | 85% | 3.2% |
| BUR → STS Hollywood Burbank to Charles M. Schulz Sonoma | 799 | 81% | 1.9% |
Questions
How often are flights from SNA to STS on time?
80% of 745 scheduled flights from Santa Ana, CA to Santa Rosa, CA arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 0.5% were cancelled.
What is the best time of day to fly SNA to STS?
Flights scheduled to leave at 11 a.m. were the most reliable (80% on time). The 5 p.m. departures were the least (74%).
What month has the most delays from SNA to STS?
July (72% on time). The best month is January (88%), over 2023–2026.
Is the last flight of the day from SNA to STS more likely to be cancelled?
Yes. Each airline's last SNA–STS flight of the day was cancelled 0.9% of the time over the past year, against 0.3% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.
Related
- STS → SNA (return)
- Orange County John Wayne (SNA) delays by hour
- Flights into Charles M. Schulz Sonoma (STS)
- Alaska Airlines on-time record
- Connecting off this flight? Check the risk
Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.