81% of flights from Burbank to Santa Rosa arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is about the typical U.S. route. Most reliable airline: Alaska Airlines (84%). 7% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.
How late?
The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for BUR → STS: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 65% of the time. About 1 in 26 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 133 three hours or more; 1.9% were cancelled outright.
- On time or early81%
- 15–30 min late7.3%
- 30–60 min late5.0%
- 1–2 hours late2.5%
- 2–3 hours late0.6%
- 3+ hours late0.8%
- Diverted1.0%
- Cancelled1.9%
Share of all 799 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.
By airline
| Airline | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Typical arrival | 1h+ late | Avg when late | Operated by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska Airlines | 671 | 84% | 2.2% | −12 min | 3.3% | +60 min | SkyWest 91%, Horizon Air 9% |
| Southwest Airlines | 128 | 65% | 0.0% | +1 min | 7.0% | +47 min | Southwest Airlines |
Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.
Best time of day to fly
On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at BUR). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.
By airline and hour
| Departs | Alaska Airlines |
|---|---|
| 8 a.m. | 81% |
Last flight of the day
On BUR → STS, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 4.6% of the time, against 0.3% for its earlier flights (13.9× as often). It arrived 3+ hours late 0.7% of the time (earlier flights: 1.0%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.
| Airline | Last departure | Last: cancelled | Last: 3h+ late | Earlier: cancelled | Next morning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska Airlines | 3:19 p.m. | 4.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | first flight 9:38 a.m. |
Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.
If you need to be in STS tonight, book an earlier flight so there's a backup if it's cancelled.
By month
Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: April (88%). Worst: December (59%).
By day of week
| Day | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 122 | 76% | 2.5% |
| Tuesday | 101 | 84% | 1.0% |
| Wednesday | 102 | 85% | 1.0% |
| Thursday | 119 | 83% | 0.0% |
| Friday | 120 | 72% | 2.5% |
| Saturday | 114 | 88% | 3.5% |
| Sunday | 121 | 80% | 2.5% |
Why flights were late
Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.
Cancellations: weather 14 · airline 1
Month by month
Not enough months with data to draw a trend.
Worst days in the past year
| Date | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 13, 2026 | 3 | 33% | 0 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | 3 | 33% | 0 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | 3 | 33% | 0 |
| Jun 12, 2026 | 3 | 33% | 0 |
| Jun 15, 2026 | 3 | 33% | 0 |
Nearby airport alternatives
Other ways to make the same trip, using airports within 60 miles of Burbank or Santa Rosa. LAX → STS has been 4 points more reliable.
| Route | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUR → STS (this route) | 799 | 81% | 1.9% |
| LAX → STS Los Angeles LAX to Charles M. Schulz Sonoma | 854 | 85% | 3.2% |
| SNA → STS Orange County John Wayne to Charles M. Schulz Sonoma | 745 | 80% | 0.5% |
Questions
How often are flights from BUR to STS on time?
81% of 799 scheduled flights from Burbank, CA to Santa Rosa, CA arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 1.9% were cancelled.
Which airline is most on time from BUR to STS?
Alaska Airlines: 84% of its 671 flights on the route arrived on time. Southwest Airlines: 65%.
What month has the most delays from BUR to STS?
December (59% on time). The best month is April (88%), over 2023–2026.
Is the last flight of the day from BUR to STS more likely to be cancelled?
Yes. Each airline's last BUR–STS flight of the day was cancelled 4.6% of the time over the past year, against 0.3% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.
Related
- STS → BUR (return)
- Hollywood Burbank (BUR) delays by hour
- Flights into Charles M. Schulz Sonoma (STS)
- Alaska Airlines on-time record
- Southwest Airlines on-time record
- Connecting off this flight? Check the risk
Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.