85% of flights from Los Angeles to Santa Rosa arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is better than the typical U.S. route. The 9 a.m. departures ran on time 95% of the time; the 10 p.m. ones 72%. 8% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.
How late?
The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for LAX → STS: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 50% of the time. About 1 in 26 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 285 three hours or more; 3.2% were cancelled outright.
- On time or early85%
- 15–30 min late3.5%
- 30–60 min late3.6%
- 1–2 hours late2.8%
- 2–3 hours late0.7%
- 3+ hours late0.4%
- Diverted0.9%
- Cancelled3.2%
Share of all 854 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.
By airline
| Airline | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Typical arrival | 1h+ late | Avg when late | Operated by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska Airlines | 854 | 85% | 3.2% | −12 min | 3.9% | +60 min | SkyWest 81%, Horizon Air 16%, Alaska Airlines 3% |
Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.
Best time of day to fly
On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at LAX). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.
Last flight of the day
On LAX → STS, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 6.9% of the time, against 0.8% for its earlier flights (8.4× as often). It arrived 3+ hours late 0.6% of the time (earlier flights: 0.2%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.
| Airline | Last departure | Last: cancelled | Last: 3h+ late | Earlier: cancelled | Next morning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska Airlines | 5:00 p.m. | 6.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | first flight 9:00 a.m. |
Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.
If you need to be in STS tonight, book an earlier flight so there's a backup if it's cancelled.
By month
Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: August (90%). Worst: December (68%).
By day of week
| Day | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 142 | 82% | 4.2% |
| Tuesday | 96 | — | — |
| Wednesday | 105 | 90% | 0.9% |
| Thursday | 136 | 87% | 2.2% |
| Friday | 138 | 80% | 5.1% |
| Saturday | 98 | — | — |
| Sunday | 139 | 85% | 3.6% |
Why flights were late
Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.
Cancellations: weather 22 · airline 4 · air traffic/airport 1
Month by month
Not enough months with data to draw a trend.
Worst days in the past year
| Date | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 0% | 2 |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 0% | 0 |
| Jul 3, 2026 | 3 | 33% | 0 |
| Jun 26, 2026 | 3 | 33% | 0 |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 33% | 0 |
Nearby airport alternatives
Other ways to make the same trip, using airports within 60 miles of Los Angeles or Santa Rosa. None has been clearly more reliable than LAX → STS.
| Route | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAX → STS (this route) | 854 | 85% | 3.2% |
| BUR → STS Hollywood Burbank to Charles M. Schulz Sonoma | 799 | 81% | 1.9% |
| SNA → STS Orange County John Wayne to Charles M. Schulz Sonoma | 745 | 80% | 0.5% |
Questions
How often are flights from LAX to STS on time?
85% of 854 scheduled flights from Los Angeles, CA to Santa Rosa, CA arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 3.2% were cancelled.
What is the best time of day to fly LAX to STS?
Flights scheduled to leave at 9 a.m. were the most reliable (95% on time). The 10 p.m. departures were the least (72%).
What month has the most delays from LAX to STS?
December (68% on time). The best month is August (90%), over 2023–2026.
Is the last flight of the day from LAX to STS more likely to be cancelled?
Yes. Each airline's last LAX–STS flight of the day was cancelled 6.9% of the time over the past year, against 0.8% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.
Related
- STS → LAX (return)
- Los Angeles LAX (LAX) delays by hour
- Flights into Charles M. Schulz Sonoma (STS)
- Alaska Airlines on-time record
- Connecting off this flight? Check the risk
Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.