ON TIMEBOARD

Connecting at DCA

How often flights into Washington, DC land too late to make the next one. 147,502 arrivals over the past 12 months.

45-min layover
29%
missed
60-min layover
20%
missed
90-min layover
11%
missed
Safer layover
100m
under 10% risk
Inbound cancelled
4.4%
or diverted; shown separately
Worst month
Jul
24% miss at 60 min

Is 45 minutes enough at DCA? 29% of inbound flights landed too late for it, allowing 30 minutes to reach the next gate. Book 100 minutes to keep the risk under 1 in 10, or 150 in July.

Separately, 4.4% of flights into DCA were cancelled or diverted (8.1% in July). That isn't a missed connection in the same sense: on one booking the airline rebooks you, though it can still cost you the day.

Check your exact itinerary through DCA →

Missed-connection risk by layover and month

Share of flights that landed at DCA too late for the connection (cancellations not included), pooled over 2023–2026. Read across your travel month.

LayoverJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYear
40 min29%34%31%27%32%33%37%31%24%22%24%29%34%
50 min22%26%23%19%24%25%30%24%16%14%17%21%26%
60 min17%20%17%14%18%20%24%19%12%10%12%16%20%
75 min12%15%13%10%13%15%19%14%8%7%9%12%15%
90 min10%11%10%8%10%12%15%11%6%5%7%9%11%
120 min6%7%6%5%6%8%10%7%4%3%4%5%7%

Counts flights that landed; cancelled and diverted inbound flights are reported separately above. Assumes 30 minutes to get off the plane and reach the next gate, and that the onward flight leaves on time. A terminal change or re-checking bags needs more.

Late in the day is riskier

Share of flights that would miss a 60-minute connection, by scheduled arrival time at DCA (past 12 months). Delays pile up through the day.

50%75%100%Arriving 12 a.m.: 20% miss a 60-min connection: 80% on time (417 flights)8012aArriving 6 a.m.: 8% miss a 60-min connection: 92% on time (1,736 flights)926aArriving 7 a.m.: 9% miss a 60-min connection: 91% on time (9,300 flights)917aArriving 8 a.m.: 9% miss a 60-min connection: 91% on time (4,517 flights)918aArriving 9 a.m.: 9% miss a 60-min connection: 91% on time (10,643 flights)919aArriving 10 a.m.: 9% miss a 60-min connection: 91% on time (7,237 flights)9110aArriving 11 a.m.: 10% miss a 60-min connection: 90% on time (8,443 flights)9011aArriving noon: 14% miss a 60-min connection: 86% on time (9,903 flights)8612pArriving 1 p.m.: 18% miss a 60-min connection: 82% on time (9,670 flights)821pArriving 2 p.m.: 20% miss a 60-min connection: 80% on time (9,154 flights)802pArriving 3 p.m.: 20% miss a 60-min connection: 80% on time (8,508 flights)803pArriving 4 p.m.: 24% miss a 60-min connection: 76% on time (11,541 flights)764pArriving 5 p.m.: 25% miss a 60-min connection: 75% on time (5,626 flights)755pArriving 6 p.m.: 27% miss a 60-min connection: 73% on time (10,592 flights)736pArriving 7 p.m.: 30% miss a 60-min connection: 70% on time (8,086 flights)707pArriving 8 p.m.: 29% miss a 60-min connection: 71% on time (9,476 flights)718pArriving 9 p.m.: 33% miss a 60-min connection: 67% on time (10,410 flights)679pArriving 10 p.m.: 29% miss a 60-min connection: 71% on time (7,232 flights)7110pArriving 11 p.m.: 23% miss a 60-min connection: 77% on time (4,998 flights)7711p
Bar = share that MAKE a 60-minute connection (taller is better). Hover for the miss rate.

Riskiest flights in

FromFlightsMiss 60 min
HPN White Plains1,35129%
RDU Raleigh3,01726%
EWR Newark3,24726%
CLE Cleveland1,60526%
CVG Cincinnati2,01726%
BTV Burlington1,11825%
BUF Buffalo1,10825%
JFK New York2,76123%
DAL Dallas1,73223%
ALB Albany1,18823%
LGA New York4,84122%
PBI West Palm Beach1,69022%

Safest flights in

FromFlightsMiss 60 min
LAX Los Angeles1,45413%
DEN Denver1,34713%
MCI Kansas City1,95016%
IND Indianapolis2,02116%
MIA Miami3,95416%
SAV Savannah1,10516%
DFW Dallas3,30316%
STL St. Louis2,41717%
MSP Minneapolis2,64917%
TPA Tampa2,24917%
IAH Houston3,35517%
PWM Portland1,14318%

Last flights of the day from DCA

If your inbound runs late and you miss one of these, the next flight is usually the next morning. Typical last scheduled departure over the past three months:

ToLast departureFlights / day
PBI West Palm Beach6:00 p.m.3.9
JFK New York6:40 p.m.6.1
TPA Tampa6:51 p.m.5.6
DFW Dallas6:58 p.m.8.6
MCO Orlando7:00 p.m.12.2
CLT Charlotte7:07 p.m.7.6
MSY New Orleans7:10 p.m.4.4
IND Indianapolis7:30 p.m.5.3
CVG Cincinnati7:30 p.m.5.2
IAH Houston7:56 p.m.8.9
STL St. Louis8:00 p.m.6.1
MSP Minneapolis8:05 p.m.7.1
CHS Charleston8:12 p.m.4.5
MCI Kansas City8:20 p.m.5
EWR Newark8:25 p.m.7.4
DAL Dallas8:35 p.m.4.6
MIA Miami8:40 p.m.10.4
DTW Detroit8:40 p.m.7.1
ATL Atlanta8:45 p.m.17.6
FLL Fort Lauderdale8:55 p.m.5.5
MDW Chicago9:00 p.m.5.6
CMH Columbus9:09 p.m.5.4
BNA Nashville10:00 p.m.11.4
RDU Raleigh10:05 p.m.7.5
ORD Chicago10:10 p.m.20
LGA New York10:14 p.m.12.2
BOS Boston10:16 p.m.22.9
CLE Cleveland10:16 p.m.3.8
PVD Providence10:19 p.m.6.1
BDL Hartford10:30 p.m.4.3

Questions

Is 45 minutes enough for a connection at DCA?

Often, not always. Over the past year 29% of flights into Washington landed too late to leave 30 minutes to reach the next gate on a 45-minute layover. With 60 minutes it was 20%; with 90, 11%. Separately, 4.4% of inbound flights were cancelled or diverted; on one booking the airline rebooks you.

How long a layover do I need at DCA?

To keep the risk of a late inbound below 1 in 10, about 100 minutes on an average month and 150 minutes in July, the worst month. Add time if you change terminals or need to re-check bags.

An estimate from past arrival delays, not a guarantee. On one ticket, the airline will rebook you if you misconnect. On separate tickets you're on your own, so leave far more time. Method.