ON TIMEBOARD

SRQ → ORD on time

Sarasota Bradenton (Sarasota/Bradenton, FL) to Chicago O'Hare (Chicago, IL). Every scheduled flight, September 2025 to August 2026.

On time
66%
arrived < 15 min late
Cancelled
1.7%
999 flights
Typical arrival
+1 min
median vs schedule
When late
+83 min
average delay
Flights / day
3
2 airlines

66% of flights from Sarasota to Chicago arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is worse than the typical U.S. route. The 9 a.m. departures ran on time 88% of the time; the 4 p.m. ones 59%. Most reliable airline: United Airlines (69%). 15% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.

How late?

The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for SRQ → ORD: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 47% of the time. About 1 in 8 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 30 three hours or more; 1.7% were cancelled outright.

Share of all 999 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.

By airline

AirlineFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrival1h+ lateAvg when lateOperated by
United Airlines61969%1.5%0 min11.8%+91 minUnited Airlines
American Airlines38062%2.1%+2 min14.5%+73 minAmerican Airlines 57%, Envoy 32%, Republic Airways 11%

Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.

Best time of day to fly

On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at SRQ). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.

40%70%100%7 a.m. departures: too few flights (20 flights)7a8 a.m. departures: too few flights (56 flights)8a9 a.m. departures: 88% on time (131 flights)889a10 a.m. departures: too few flights10a11 a.m. departures: too few flights (22 flights)11anoon departures: 66% on time (223 flights)6612p1 p.m. departures: too few flights (28 flights)1p2 p.m. departures: too few flights (18 flights)2p3 p.m. departures: too few flights (19 flights)3p4 p.m. departures: 59% on time (384 flights)594p5 p.m. departures: too few flights (62 flights)5p6 p.m. departures: too few flights (26 flights)6p
SRQ → ORD, share of flights arriving on time, by departure hour. Hours with under 100 flights are greyed out.
82%+ on time76–82%68–76%under 68%too few flights

By airline and hour

DepartsUnited AirlinesAmerican Airlines
9 a.m.88%—
noon72%62%
4 p.m.61%—

Last flight of the day

On SRQ → ORD, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 1.7% of the time, against 2.6% for its earlier flights, so here the last flight is actually the safer one. It arrived 3+ hours late 4.6% of the time (earlier flights: 2.8%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.

AirlineLast departureLast: cancelledLast: 3h+ lateEarlier: cancelledNext morning
American Airlines7:22 p.m.2.1%3.5%3.0%first flight 7:22 p.m.
United Airlines4:28 p.m.1.4%5.3%2.4%first flight 4:28 p.m.

Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.

By month

Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: October (81%). Worst: July (54%).

40%70%100%Jan: 69% on time (285 flights)69JanFeb: 81% on time (295 flights)81FebMar: 66% on time (408 flights)66MarApr: 73% on time (345 flights)73AprMay: 73% on time (219 flights)73MayJun: 61% on time (106 flights)61JunJul: 54% on time (105 flights)54JulAug: too few flights (98 flights)AugSep: too few flights (92 flights)SepOct: 81% on time (105 flights)81OctNov: 72% on time (172 flights)72NovDec: 74% on time (311 flights)74Dec

By day of week

DayFlightsOn timeCancelled
Monday14067%3.6%
Tuesday13771%0.7%
Wednesday13675%1.5%
Thursday13870%2.2%
Friday13860%1.5%
Saturday17164%1.8%
Sunday13957%0.7%

Why flights were late

Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.

Air traffic & airport (NAS) 40%Late inbound plane 35%Airline (crew, maintenance, ops) 22%Severe weather 3%

Cancellations: weather 12 · airline 3 · air traffic/airport 2

Month by month

50%75%100%Sep 2023Jan 2024Jan 2025Jan 2026Mar 2024: 77% on time, 1.6% cancelledApr 2024: 80% on time, 0.8% cancelledMar 2025: 64% on time, 1.6% cancelledDec 2025: 68% on time, 0.7% cancelledJan 2026: 67% on time, 0.0% cancelledFeb 2026: 80% on time, 0.0% cancelledMar 2026: 59% on time, 4.5% cancelledApr 2026: 63% on time, 4.8% cancelled
Share of flights on time, by month (hover a point for cancellations)
SRQ → ORD, monthly on-time and cancellation rate.

Flight numbers on this route

Regular flights with at least 120 scheduled trips in the past year. Sorted by departure time.

FlightDepartsFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrivalOperated by
UA 14004:30 p.m.16162%0.0%+5 minUnited Airlines

Worst days in the past year

DateFlightsOn timeCancelled
Nov 29, 202540%2
Apr 2, 202640%1
Apr 14, 202640%0
Apr 16, 202640%1
Apr 3, 202640%1

Nearby airport alternatives

Other ways to make the same trip, using airports within 60 miles of Sarasota or Chicago. TPA → MDW has been 6 points more reliable.

RouteFlightsOn timeCancelled
SRQ → ORD (this route)99966%1.7%
TPA → MDW Tampa to Chicago Midway1,55473%2.2%
TPA → ORD Tampa to Chicago O'Hare3,17171%1.6%
SRQ → MDW Sarasota Bradenton to Chicago Midway51970%1.5%

Questions

How often are flights from SRQ to ORD on time?

66% of 999 scheduled flights from Sarasota/Bradenton, FL to Chicago, IL arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 1.7% were cancelled.

What is the best time of day to fly SRQ to ORD?

Flights scheduled to leave at 9 a.m. were the most reliable (88% on time). The 4 p.m. departures were the least (59%).

Which airline is most on time from SRQ to ORD?

United Airlines: 69% of its 619 flights on the route arrived on time. American Airlines: 62%.

What month has the most delays from SRQ to ORD?

July (54% on time). The best month is October (81%), over 2023–2026.

Is the last flight of the day from SRQ to ORD more likely to be cancelled?

No, the opposite. Each airline's last SRQ–ORD flight of the day was cancelled 1.7% of the time over the past year, against 2.6% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.

Related

Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.