61% of flights from San Francisco to San Diego arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is worse than the typical U.S. route. The 6 a.m. departures ran on time 92% of the time; the 3 p.m. ones 40%. Most reliable airline: United Airlines (72%). 15% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.
How late?
The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for SFO → SAN: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 50% of the time. About 1 in 8 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 94 three hours or more; 1.7% were cancelled outright.
- On time or early61%
- 15–30 min late12%
- 30–60 min late13%
- 1–2 hours late9.9%
- 2–3 hours late2.2%
- 3+ hours late1.1%
- Diverted0.2%
- Cancelled1.7%
Share of all 7,343 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.
By airline
| Airline | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Typical arrival | 1h+ late | Avg when late | Operated by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Airlines | 2,686 | 72% | 0.3% | −2 min | 7.8% | +54 min | United Airlines 99%, SkyWest 1% |
| Alaska Airlines | 2,373 | 60% | 3.3% | +5 min | 12.8% | +57 min | SkyWest 60%, Horizon Air 26%, Alaska Airlines 14% |
| Southwest Airlines | 2,070 | 47% | 1.4% | +17 min | 19.7% | +62 min | Southwest Airlines |
| Frontier Airlines | 214 | 46% | 4.2% | +17 min | 24.3% | +95 min | Frontier Airlines |
Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.
Best time of day to fly
On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at SFO). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.
By airline and hour
| Departs | United Airlines | Alaska Airlines | Southwest Airlines |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 a.m. | 94% | 91% | 91% |
| 7 a.m. | 95% | 79% | 90% |
| 8 a.m. | 80% | 78% | 63% |
| 9 a.m. | 80% | — | 68% |
| 10 a.m. | 64% | 44% | 23% |
| 11 a.m. | 68% | 50% | 43% |
| noon | 61% | — | — |
| 1 p.m. | 81% | — | 30% |
| 2 p.m. | 54% | 64% | 22% |
| 3 p.m. | — | — | 33% |
| 4 p.m. | 61% | 42% | 36% |
| 5 p.m. | — | 64% | — |
| 6 p.m. | — | 48% | 31% |
| 7 p.m. | 70% | — | 36% |
| 9 p.m. | 67% | — | — |
| 10 p.m. | 74% | — | — |
Last flight of the day
On SFO → SAN, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 2.8% of the time, against 1.4% for its earlier flights (2.0× as often). It arrived 3+ hours late 1.1% of the time (earlier flights: 1.0%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.
| Airline | Last departure | Last: cancelled | Last: 3h+ late | Earlier: cancelled | Next morning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska Airlines | 6:42 p.m. | 6.6% | 0.0% | 2.7% | first flight 6:16 a.m. |
| United Airlines | 10:42 p.m. | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | first flight 7:00 a.m. |
| Southwest Airlines | 7:45 p.m. | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | first flight 6:00 a.m. |
Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.
If you need to be in SAN tonight, book an earlier flight so there's a backup if it's cancelled.
By month
Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: January (78%). Worst: August (60%).
By day of week
| Day | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 1,155 | 54% | 1.8% |
| Tuesday | 990 | 71% | 1.3% |
| Wednesday | 984 | 64% | 1.8% |
| Thursday | 1,133 | 52% | 2.6% |
| Friday | 1,147 | 53% | 1.7% |
| Saturday | 846 | 76% | 0.8% |
| Sunday | 1,088 | 60% | 1.4% |
Why flights were late
Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.
Cancellations: air traffic/airport 68 · airline 36 · weather 20
Month by month
Flight numbers on this route
Regular flights with at least 120 scheduled trips in the past year. Sorted by departure time.
| Flight | Departs | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Typical arrival | Operated by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UA 444 | 8:15 a.m. | 197 | 78% | 0.0% | −5 min | United Airlines |
| UA 2177 | 10:05 a.m. | 310 | 65% | 0.0% | +4 min | United Airlines |
| AS 3482 | 1:21 p.m. | 127 | 52% | 0.0% | +13 min | SkyWest |
| UA 1577 | 7:10 p.m. | 156 | 72% | 0.6% | −1 min | United Airlines |
| F9 4306 | 10:23 p.m. | 171 | 46% | 3.5% | +17 min | Frontier Airlines |
| UA 2142 | 10:40 p.m. | 196 | 72% | 0.0% | 0 min | United Airlines |
Worst days in the past year
| Date | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 24, 2025 | 14 | 7% | 1 |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 19 | 11% | 2 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | 26 | 12% | 1 |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 16 | 13% | 3 |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 19 | 16% | 3 |
Nearby airport alternatives
Other ways to make the same trip, using airports within 60 miles of San Francisco or San Diego. SJC → SAN has been 7 points more reliable.
| Route | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFO → SAN (this route) | 7,343 | 61% | 1.7% |
| SJC → SAN San Jose to San Diego | 5,620 | 68% | 1.1% |
| OAK → SAN Oakland to San Diego | 3,464 | 62% | 1.1% |
Questions
How often are flights from SFO to SAN on time?
61% of 7,343 scheduled flights from San Francisco, CA to San Diego, CA arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 1.7% were cancelled.
What is the best time of day to fly SFO to SAN?
Flights scheduled to leave at 6 a.m. were the most reliable (92% on time). The 3 p.m. departures were the least (40%).
Which airline is most on time from SFO to SAN?
United Airlines: 72% of its 2,686 flights on the route arrived on time. Alaska Airlines: 60%. Southwest Airlines: 47%. Frontier Airlines: 46%.
What month has the most delays from SFO to SAN?
August (60% on time). The best month is January (78%), over 2023–2026.
Is the last flight of the day from SFO to SAN more likely to be cancelled?
Yes. Each airline's last SFO–SAN flight of the day was cancelled 2.8% of the time over the past year, against 1.4% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.
Related
- SAN → SFO (return)
- San Francisco (SFO) delays by hour
- Flights into San Diego (SAN)
- United Airlines on-time record
- Alaska Airlines on-time record
- Southwest Airlines on-time record
- Frontier Airlines on-time record
- Connecting off this flight? Check the risk
Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.