ON TIMEBOARD

ORD → RAP on time

Chicago O'Hare (Chicago, IL) to Rapid City (Rapid City, SD). Every scheduled flight, September 2025 to August 2026.

On time
77%
arrived < 15 min late
Cancelled
1.9%
687 flights
Typical arrival
−5 min
median vs schedule
When late
+54 min
average delay
Flights / day
2
2 airlines

77% of flights from Chicago to Rapid City arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is about the typical U.S. route. The 8 a.m. departures ran on time 83% of the time; the 9 a.m. ones 78%. Most reliable airline: American Airlines (83%). 9% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.

How late?

The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for ORD → RAP: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 63% of the time. About 1 in 15 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 172 three hours or more; 1.9% were cancelled outright.

Share of all 687 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.

By airline

AirlineFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrival1h+ lateAvg when lateOperated by
United Airlines38672%3.1%0 min7.5%+53 minSkyWest 55%, United Airlines 45%
American Airlines30183%0.3%−10 min5.3%+56 minEnvoy 99%, SkyWest 1%

Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.

Best time of day to fly

On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at ORD). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.

40%70%100%8 a.m. departures: 83% on time (214 flights)838a9 a.m. departures: 78% on time (184 flights)789a10 a.m. departures: too few flights (3 flights)10a11 a.m. departures: too few flights (32 flights)11anoon departures: too few flights12p1 p.m. departures: 83% on time (104 flights)831p2 p.m. departures: too few flights2p3 p.m. departures: too few flights3p4 p.m. departures: too few flights (19 flights)4p5 p.m. departures: too few flights5p6 p.m. departures: too few flights6p7 p.m. departures: too few flights (15 flights)7p8 p.m. departures: too few flights (46 flights)8p9 p.m. departures: too few flights (70 flights)9p
ORD → RAP, share of flights arriving on time, by departure hour. Hours with under 100 flights are greyed out.
82%+ on time76–82%68–76%under 68%too few flights

By airline and hour

DepartsUnited AirlinesAmerican Airlines
8 a.m.83%—
9 a.m.—86%
1 p.m.—83%

Last flight of the day

On ORD → RAP, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 3.8% of the time, against 0.4% for its earlier flights (9.0× as often). It arrived 3+ hours late 1.3% of the time (earlier flights: 0.0%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.

AirlineLast departureLast: cancelledLast: 3h+ lateEarlier: cancelledNext morning
American Airlines1:20 p.m.0.0%1.7%0.0%first flight 9:43 a.m.
United Airlines9:30 p.m.7.6%0.8%0.8%first flight 8:45 a.m.

Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.

If you need to be in RAP tonight, book an earlier flight so there's a backup if it's cancelled.

By month

Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: September (87%). Worst: June (75%).

40%70%100%Jan: too few flights (10 flights)JanFeb: too few flightsFebMar: too few flights (5 flights)MarApr: 76% on time (131 flights)76AprMay: 81% on time (224 flights)81MayJun: 75% on time (292 flights)75JunJul: 76% on time (307 flights)76JulAug: 78% on time (276 flights)78AugSep: 87% on time (181 flights)87SepOct: 84% on time (103 flights)84OctNov: too few flights (60 flights)NovDec: too few flights (30 flights)Dec

By day of week

DayFlightsOn timeCancelled
Monday10575%4.8%
Tuesday92——
Wednesday91——
Thursday10281%2.0%
Friday98——
Saturday95——
Sunday10476%0.0%

Why flights were late

Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.

Airline (crew, maintenance, ops) 33%Late inbound plane 33%Air traffic & airport (NAS) 26%Severe weather 8%

Cancellations: air traffic/airport 7 · weather 6

Month by month

60%80%100%Sep 2023Jan 2025Jan 2026Jun 2025: 67% on time, 0.0% cancelledJul 2025: 66% on time, 3.3% cancelledAug 2025: 74% on time, 2.8% cancelledMay 2026: 74% on time, 1.9% cancelledJun 2026: 80% on time, 1.7% cancelledJul 2026: 80% on time, 1.6% cancelledAug 2026: 75% on time, 1.0% cancelled
Share of flights on time, by month (hover a point for cancellations)
ORD → RAP, monthly on-time and cancellation rate.

Worst days in the past year

DateFlightsOn timeCancelled
Apr 13, 202630%0
Aug 12, 202630%0
Aug 14, 202630%0
Aug 1, 2026425%0
Jun 26, 2026425%0

Questions

How often are flights from ORD to RAP on time?

77% of 687 scheduled flights from Chicago, IL to Rapid City, SD arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 1.9% were cancelled.

What is the best time of day to fly ORD to RAP?

Flights scheduled to leave at 8 a.m. were the most reliable (83% on time). The 9 a.m. departures were the least (78%).

Which airline is most on time from ORD to RAP?

American Airlines: 83% of its 301 flights on the route arrived on time. United Airlines: 72%.

What month has the most delays from ORD to RAP?

June (75% on time). The best month is September (87%), over 2023–2026.

Is the last flight of the day from ORD to RAP more likely to be cancelled?

Yes. Each airline's last ORD–RAP flight of the day was cancelled 3.8% of the time over the past year, against 0.4% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.

Related

Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.