67% of flights from Providence to Washington arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is worse than the typical U.S. route. The 9 a.m. departures ran on time 84% of the time; the 7 p.m. ones 45%. Most reliable airline: Southwest Airlines (74%). 15% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.
How late?
The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for PVD → DCA: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 55% of the time. About 1 in 11 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 50 three hours or more; 5.5% were cancelled outright.
- On time or early67%
- 15–30 min late9.6%
- 30–60 min late8.7%
- 1–2 hours late5.2%
- 2–3 hours late1.6%
- 3+ hours late2.0%
- Diverted0.6%
- Cancelled5.5%
Share of all 2,426 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.
By airline
| Airline | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Typical arrival | 1h+ late | Avg when late | Operated by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Airlines | 1,756 | 64% | 6.8% | −1 min | 9.5% | +82 min | PSA Airlines 60%, American Airlines 26%, Republic Airways 12%, Envoy 2% |
| Southwest Airlines | 670 | 74% | 2.1% | −7 min | 7.2% | +61 min | Southwest Airlines |
Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.
Best time of day to fly
On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at PVD). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.
By airline and hour
| Departs | American Airlines | Southwest Airlines |
|---|---|---|
| 6 a.m. | 77% | — |
| 8 a.m. | — | 92% |
| 9 a.m. | 84% | — |
| noon | 62% | — |
| 2 p.m. | 63% | — |
| 3 p.m. | 62% | — |
| 5 p.m. | 55% | — |
| 6 p.m. | — | 60% |
| 7 p.m. | 43% | — |
Last flight of the day
On PVD → DCA, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 7.3% of the time, against 4.9% for its earlier flights (1.5× as often). It arrived 3+ hours late 3.0% of the time (earlier flights: 1.8%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.
| Airline | Last departure | Last: cancelled | Last: 3h+ late | Earlier: cancelled | Next morning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Airlines | 9:07 p.m. | 11.3% | 3.6% | 5.6% | first flight 6:00 a.m. |
| Southwest Airlines | 5:20 p.m. | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | first flight 8:30 a.m. |
Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.
If you need to be in DCA tonight, book an earlier flight so there's a backup if it's cancelled.
By month
Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: October (86%). Worst: July (60%).
By day of week
| Day | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 376 | 65% | 7.2% |
| Tuesday | 370 | 68% | 7.0% |
| Wednesday | 369 | 67% | 3.8% |
| Thursday | 364 | 64% | 6.0% |
| Friday | 367 | 63% | 3.8% |
| Saturday | 241 | 78% | 5.0% |
| Sunday | 339 | 66% | 5.3% |
Why flights were late
Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.
Cancellations: weather 95 · air traffic/airport 26 · airline 11 · security 1
Month by month
Worst days in the past year
| Date | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | 7 | 0% | 6 |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 7 | 0% | 6 |
| Feb 23, 2026 | 7 | 0% | 7 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | 7 | 0% | 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | 7 | 0% | 3 |
Nearby airport alternatives
Other ways to make the same trip, using airports within 60 miles of Providence or Washington. PVD → BWI has been 18 points more reliable.
| Route | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| PVD → DCA (this route) | 2,426 | 67% | 5.5% |
| PVD → BWI Rhode Island T. F. Green to Baltimore/Washington | 1,850 | 85% | 1.9% |
| BOS → IAD Boston Logan to Washington Dulles | 1,527 | 81% | 3.0% |
| PVD → IAD Rhode Island T. F. Green to Washington Dulles | 1,157 | 78% | 2.5% |
| BOS → BWI Boston Logan to Baltimore/Washington | 3,536 | 76% | 2.9% |
| BOS → DCA Boston Logan to Washington Reagan National | 9,105 | 69% | 4.1% |
Questions
How often are flights from PVD to DCA on time?
67% of 2,426 scheduled flights from Providence, RI to Washington, DC arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 5.5% were cancelled.
What is the best time of day to fly PVD to DCA?
Flights scheduled to leave at 9 a.m. were the most reliable (84% on time). The 7 p.m. departures were the least (45%).
Which airline is most on time from PVD to DCA?
Southwest Airlines: 74% of its 670 flights on the route arrived on time. American Airlines: 64%.
What month has the most delays from PVD to DCA?
July (60% on time). The best month is October (86%), over 2023–2026.
Is the last flight of the day from PVD to DCA more likely to be cancelled?
Yes. Each airline's last PVD–DCA flight of the day was cancelled 7.3% of the time over the past year, against 4.9% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.
Related
- DCA → PVD (return)
- Rhode Island T. F. Green (PVD) delays by hour
- Flights into Washington Reagan National (DCA)
- American Airlines on-time record
- Southwest Airlines on-time record
- Connecting off this flight? Check the risk
Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.