ON TIMEBOARD

PHX → RDU on time

Phoenix Sky Harbor (Phoenix, AZ) to Raleigh-Durham (Raleigh/Durham, NC). Every scheduled flight, September 2025 to August 2026.

On time
70%
arrived < 15 min late
Cancelled
1.1%
832 flights
Typical arrival
+2 min
median vs schedule
When late
+60 min
average delay
Flights / day
2
2 airlines

70% of flights from Phoenix to Raleigh arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is worse than the typical U.S. route. The 9 a.m. departures ran on time 76% of the time; the 3 p.m. ones 69%. Most reliable airline: American Airlines (72%). 9% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.

How late?

The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for PHX → RDU: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 65% of the time. About 1 in 13 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 59 three hours or more; 1.1% were cancelled outright.

Share of all 832 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.

By airline

AirlineFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrival1h+ lateAvg when lateOperated by
American Airlines51072%1.0%−1 min8.8%+70 minAmerican Airlines
Southwest Airlines32267%1.2%+5 min6.2%+46 minSouthwest Airlines

Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.

Best time of day to fly

On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at PHX). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.

40%70%100%8 a.m. departures: too few flights (94 flights)8a9 a.m. departures: 76% on time (131 flights)769a10 a.m. departures: too few flights (61 flights)10a11 a.m. departures: too few flights (31 flights)11anoon departures: too few flights (75 flights)12p1 p.m. departures: too few flights (29 flights)1p2 p.m. departures: too few flights2p3 p.m. departures: 69% on time (153 flights)693p4 p.m. departures: 69% on time (101 flights)694p5 p.m. departures: 73% on time (135 flights)735p
PHX → RDU, share of flights arriving on time, by departure hour. Hours with under 100 flights are greyed out.
82%+ on time76–82%68–76%under 68%too few flights

By airline and hour

DepartsAmerican Airlines
3 p.m.69%
5 p.m.79%

Last flight of the day

On PHX → RDU, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 0.6% of the time, against 0.0% for its earlier flights, about the same. It arrived 3+ hours late 3.9% of the time (earlier flights: 1.3%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.

AirlineLast departureLast: cancelledLast: 3h+ lateEarlier: cancelledNext morning
American Airlines3:41 p.m.0.7%4.0%0.0%first flight 8:57 a.m.

Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.

By month

Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: November (83%). Worst: June (61%).

40%70%100%Jan: 74% on time (125 flights)74JanFeb: 83% on time (135 flights)83FebMar: 69% on time (186 flights)69MarApr: 75% on time (177 flights)75AprMay: 74% on time (181 flights)74MayJun: 61% on time (179 flights)61JunJul: 63% on time (186 flights)63JulAug: 72% on time (144 flights)72AugSep: 76% on time (128 flights)76SepOct: 64% on time (147 flights)64OctNov: 83% on time (168 flights)83NovDec: 79% on time (174 flights)79Dec

By day of week

DayFlightsOn timeCancelled
Monday12970%1.6%
Tuesday94——
Wednesday10075%0.0%
Thursday12673%0.0%
Friday12563%0.0%
Saturday12867%3.1%
Sunday13070%2.3%

Why flights were late

Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.

Late inbound plane 51%Airline (crew, maintenance, ops) 35%Air traffic & airport (NAS) 12%

Cancellations: weather 7 · airline 1 · air traffic/airport 1

Month by month

Not enough months with data to draw a trend.

Flight numbers on this route

Regular flights with at least 120 scheduled trips in the past year. Sorted by departure time.

FlightDepartsFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrivalOperated by
AA 23323:25 p.m.14669%0.7%+2 minAmerican Airlines

Worst days in the past year

DateFlightsOn timeCancelled
Jul 14, 202630%0
Mar 15, 202630%1
Jun 21, 202630%0
Nov 23, 202530%0
Jul 17, 202630%0

Questions

How often are flights from PHX to RDU on time?

70% of 832 scheduled flights from Phoenix, AZ to Raleigh/Durham, NC arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 1.1% were cancelled.

What is the best time of day to fly PHX to RDU?

Flights scheduled to leave at 9 a.m. were the most reliable (76% on time). The 3 p.m. departures were the least (69%).

Which airline is most on time from PHX to RDU?

American Airlines: 72% of its 510 flights on the route arrived on time. Southwest Airlines: 67%.

What month has the most delays from PHX to RDU?

June (61% on time). The best month is November (83%), over 2023–2026.

Is the last flight of the day from PHX to RDU more likely to be cancelled?

Yes. Each airline's last PHX–RDU flight of the day was cancelled 0.6% of the time over the past year, against 0.0% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.

Related

Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.