ON TIMEBOARD

PHX → MCO on time

Phoenix Sky Harbor (Phoenix, AZ) to Orlando (Orlando, FL). Every scheduled flight, September 2025 to August 2026.

On time
73%
arrived < 15 min late
Cancelled
0.7%
1,857 flights
Typical arrival
+1 min
median vs schedule
When late
+53 min
average delay
Flights / day
5
3 airlines

73% of flights from Phoenix to Orlando arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is worse than the typical U.S. route. The 7 a.m. departures ran on time 88% of the time; the 8 a.m. ones 64%. Most reliable airline: Southwest Airlines (76%). 7% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.

How late?

The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for PHX → MCO: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 68% of the time. About 1 in 17 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 133 three hours or more; 0.7% were cancelled outright.

Share of all 1,857 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.

By airline

AirlineFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrival1h+ lateAvg when lateOperated by
Southwest Airlines85776%0.6%+1 min4.3%+44 minSouthwest Airlines
American Airlines79271%0.6%+1 min8.0%+57 minAmerican Airlines
Frontier Airlines20874%1.4%+3 min4.8%+68 minFrontier Airlines

Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.

Best time of day to fly

On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at PHX). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.

40%70%100%12 a.m. departures: 71% on time (153 flights)7112a1 a.m. departures: too few flights1a2 a.m. departures: too few flights2a3 a.m. departures: too few flights3a4 a.m. departures: too few flights4a5 a.m. departures: too few flights (18 flights)5a6 a.m. departures: too few flights (47 flights)6a7 a.m. departures: 88% on time (122 flights)887a8 a.m. departures: 64% on time (204 flights)648a9 a.m. departures: 70% on time (199 flights)709a10 a.m. departures: too few flights (69 flights)10a11 a.m. departures: too few flights (30 flights)11anoon departures: too few flights (52 flights)12p1 p.m. departures: too few flights (53 flights)1p2 p.m. departures: too few flights (35 flights)2p3 p.m. departures: too few flights (41 flights)3p4 p.m. departures: 70% on time (148 flights)704p5 p.m. departures: too few flights (44 flights)5p6 p.m. departures: too few flights6p7 p.m. departures: too few flights7p8 p.m. departures: too few flights8p9 p.m. departures: too few flights (74 flights)9p10 p.m. departures: 83% on time (139 flights)8310p11 p.m. departures: 80% on time (429 flights)8011p
PHX → MCO, share of flights arriving on time, by departure hour. Hours with under 100 flights are greyed out.
82%+ on time76–82%68–76%under 68%too few flights

By airline and hour

DepartsSouthwest AirlinesAmerican AirlinesFrontier Airlines
12 a.m.——71%
7 a.m.88%——
8 a.m.—60%—
9 a.m.—72%—
4 p.m.—73%—
11 p.m.78%——

Last flight of the day

On PHX → MCO, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 0.5% of the time, against 0.8% for its earlier flights, so here the last flight is actually the safer one. It arrived 3+ hours late 0.3% of the time (earlier flights: 0.9%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.

AirlineLast departureLast: cancelledLast: 3h+ lateEarlier: cancelledNext morning
American Airlines9:51 p.m.0.7%0.7%0.7%first flight 8:50 a.m.
Southwest Airlines11:05 p.m.0.3%0.0%0.8%first flight 7:55 a.m.

Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.

By month

Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: September (82%). Worst: March (64%).

40%70%100%Jan: 79% on time (410 flights)79JanFeb: 80% on time (443 flights)80FebMar: 64% on time (543 flights)64MarApr: 81% on time (504 flights)81AprMay: 76% on time (457 flights)76MayJun: 77% on time (440 flights)77JunJul: 69% on time (452 flights)69JulAug: 70% on time (311 flights)70AugSep: 82% on time (296 flights)82SepOct: 79% on time (412 flights)79OctNov: 80% on time (467 flights)80NovDec: 79% on time (490 flights)79Dec

By day of week

DayFlightsOn timeCancelled
Monday27574%2.2%
Tuesday24373%0.8%
Wednesday24779%0.0%
Thursday27367%0.4%
Friday27175%1.1%
Saturday26277%0.0%
Sunday28669%0.4%

Why flights were late

Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.

Airline (crew, maintenance, ops) 47%Late inbound plane 33%Air traffic & airport (NAS) 17%Severe weather 3%

Cancellations: weather 10 · airline 2 · air traffic/airport 1

Month by month

40%70%100%Sep 2023Jan 2024Jan 2025Jan 2026Sep 2023: 77% on time, 0.8% cancelledOct 2023: 80% on time, 0.0% cancelledNov 2023: 81% on time, 0.0% cancelledDec 2023: 83% on time, 0.0% cancelledJan 2024: 70% on time, 0.0% cancelledFeb 2024: 87% on time, 0.0% cancelledMar 2024: 66% on time, 0.0% cancelledApr 2024: 83% on time, 0.0% cancelledMay 2024: 80% on time, 0.0% cancelledJun 2024: 71% on time, 0.0% cancelledJul 2024: 73% on time, 2.0% cancelledOct 2024: 79% on time, 8.6% cancelledNov 2024: 82% on time, 0.0% cancelledDec 2024: 80% on time, 0.0% cancelledJan 2025: 89% on time, 0.0% cancelledFeb 2025: 80% on time, 0.0% cancelledMar 2025: 75% on time, 2.2% cancelledApr 2025: 79% on time, 0.0% cancelledMay 2025: 81% on time, 0.0% cancelledJun 2025: 78% on time, 0.0% cancelledJul 2025: 71% on time, 0.0% cancelledAug 2025: 73% on time, 0.0% cancelledOct 2025: 79% on time, 0.0% cancelledNov 2025: 78% on time, 1.2% cancelledDec 2025: 76% on time, 0.0% cancelledJan 2026: 79% on time, 1.9% cancelledFeb 2026: 75% on time, 0.0% cancelledMar 2026: 53% on time, 3.1% cancelledApr 2026: 81% on time, 0.0% cancelledMay 2026: 67% on time, 0.0% cancelledJun 2026: 81% on time, 0.7% cancelledJul 2026: 64% on time, 0.0% cancelledAug 2026: 66% on time, 0.0% cancelled
Share of flights on time, by month (hover a point for cancellations)
PHX → MCO, monthly on-time and cancellation rate.

Flight numbers on this route

Regular flights with at least 120 scheduled trips in the past year. Sorted by departure time.

FlightDepartsFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrivalOperated by
F9 108612:12 a.m.20674%1.5%+3 minFrontier Airlines
AA 22268:54 a.m.12170%0.0%0 minAmerican Airlines

Worst days in the past year

DateFlightsOn timeCancelled
Mar 16, 202660%3
Jul 16, 202650%0
Aug 27, 202630%0
Mar 5, 2026617%0
Mar 12, 2026617%0

Questions

How often are flights from PHX to MCO on time?

73% of 1,857 scheduled flights from Phoenix, AZ to Orlando, FL arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 0.7% were cancelled.

What is the best time of day to fly PHX to MCO?

Flights scheduled to leave at 7 a.m. were the most reliable (88% on time). The 8 a.m. departures were the least (64%).

Which airline is most on time from PHX to MCO?

Southwest Airlines: 76% of its 857 flights on the route arrived on time. American Airlines: 71%. Frontier Airlines: 74%.

What month has the most delays from PHX to MCO?

March (64% on time). The best month is September (82%), over 2023–2026.

Is the last flight of the day from PHX to MCO more likely to be cancelled?

No, the opposite. Each airline's last PHX–MCO flight of the day was cancelled 0.5% of the time over the past year, against 0.8% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.

Related

Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.