76% of flights from Madison to Philadelphia arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is worse than the typical U.S. route. The 6 a.m. departures ran on time 89% of the time; the 5 p.m. ones 61%. 15% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.
How late?
The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for MSN → PHL: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 38% of the time. About 1 in 12 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 43 three hours or more; 6.5% were cancelled outright.
- On time or early76%
- 15–30 min late4.6%
- 30–60 min late4.2%
- 1–2 hours late4.9%
- 2–3 hours late1.3%
- 3+ hours late2.3%
- Diverted0.3%
- Cancelled6.5%
Share of all 691 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.
By airline
| Airline | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Typical arrival | 1h+ late | Avg when late | Operated by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Airlines | 691 | 76% | 6.5% | −14 min | 8.5% | +102 min | PSA Airlines 73%, Piedmont Airlines 26%, American Airlines 0% |
Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.
Best time of day to fly
On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at MSN). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.
Last flight of the day
On MSN → PHL, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 10.4% of the time, against 4.9% for its earlier flights (2.1× as often). It arrived 3+ hours late 1.5% of the time (earlier flights: 3.7%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.
| Airline | Last departure | Last: cancelled | Last: 3h+ late | Earlier: cancelled | Next morning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Airlines | 5:52 p.m. | 10.4% | 1.5% | 4.9% | first flight 6:00 a.m. |
Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.
If you need to be in PHL tonight, book an earlier flight so there's a backup if it's cancelled.
By month
Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: April (88%). Worst: July (65%).
By day of week
| Day | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 103 | 70% | 9.7% |
| Tuesday | 100 | 87% | 6.0% |
| Wednesday | 92 | — | — |
| Thursday | 100 | 71% | 7.0% |
| Friday | 100 | 75% | 6.0% |
| Saturday | 96 | — | — |
| Sunday | 100 | 71% | 6.0% |
Why flights were late
Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.
Cancellations: weather 37 · air traffic/airport 8
Month by month
Not enough months with data to draw a trend.
Worst days in the past year
| Date | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | 3 | 0% | 3 |
| Jul 21, 2026 | 3 | 0% | 2 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | 3 | 0% | 1 |
| Jul 23, 2026 | 3 | 0% | 1 |
| May 25, 2026 | 3 | 0% | 0 |
Questions
How often are flights from MSN to PHL on time?
76% of 691 scheduled flights from Madison, WI to Philadelphia, PA arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 6.5% were cancelled.
What is the best time of day to fly MSN to PHL?
Flights scheduled to leave at 6 a.m. were the most reliable (89% on time). The 5 p.m. departures were the least (61%).
What month has the most delays from MSN to PHL?
July (65% on time). The best month is April (88%), over 2023–2026.
Is the last flight of the day from MSN to PHL more likely to be cancelled?
Yes. Each airline's last MSN–PHL flight of the day was cancelled 10.4% of the time over the past year, against 4.9% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.
Related
- PHL → MSN (return)
- Dane Truax (MSN) delays by hour
- Flights into Philadelphia (PHL)
- American Airlines on-time record
- Connecting off this flight? Check the risk
Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.