ON TIMEBOARD

MCO → PVD on time

Orlando (Orlando, FL) to Rhode Island T. F. Green (Providence, RI). Every scheduled flight, September 2025 to August 2026.

On time
71%
arrived < 15 min late
Cancelled
1.9%
1,581 flights
Typical arrival
−1 min
median vs schedule
When late
+65 min
average delay
Flights / day
4
2 airlines

71% of flights from Orlando to Providence arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is worse than the typical U.S. route. The 7 a.m. departures ran on time 90% of the time; the 8 p.m. ones 62%. Most reliable airline: Southwest Airlines (76%). 11% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.

How late?

The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for MCO → PVD: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 54% of the time. About 1 in 11 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 61 three hours or more; 1.9% were cancelled outright.

Share of all 1,581 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.

By airline

AirlineFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrival1h+ lateAvg when lateOperated by
Southwest Airlines89676%1.3%−1 min6.7%+57 minSouthwest Airlines
JetBlue68565%2.6%+1 min12.1%+72 minJetBlue

Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.

Best time of day to fly

On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at MCO). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.

40%70%100%6 a.m. departures: too few flights (42 flights)6a7 a.m. departures: 90% on time (124 flights)907a8 a.m. departures: 82% on time (100 flights)828a9 a.m. departures: too few flights (72 flights)9a10 a.m. departures: too few flights (69 flights)10a11 a.m. departures: too few flights (62 flights)11anoon departures: too few flights (65 flights)12p1 p.m. departures: 71% on time (157 flights)711p2 p.m. departures: too few flights (48 flights)2p3 p.m. departures: too few flights (38 flights)3p4 p.m. departures: too few flights (87 flights)4p5 p.m. departures: 63% on time (164 flights)635p6 p.m. departures: 62% on time (130 flights)626p7 p.m. departures: 68% on time (252 flights)687p8 p.m. departures: 62% on time (150 flights)628p
MCO → PVD, share of flights arriving on time, by departure hour. Hours with under 100 flights are greyed out.
82%+ on time76–82%68–76%under 68%too few flights

By airline and hour

DepartsSouthwest AirlinesJetBlue
7 a.m.90%—
6 p.m.—64%
7 p.m.69%—

Last flight of the day

On MCO → PVD, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 2.2% of the time, against 1.9% for its earlier flights, about the same. It arrived 3+ hours late 2.7% of the time (earlier flights: 0.7%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.

AirlineLast departureLast: cancelledLast: 3h+ lateEarlier: cancelledNext morning
JetBlue8:00 p.m.3.2%3.2%3.1%first flight 4:20 p.m.
Southwest Airlines5:55 p.m.1.5%2.4%1.1%first flight 7:35 a.m.

Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.

By month

Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: April (83%). Worst: August (63%).

40%70%100%Jan: 77% on time (382 flights)77JanFeb: 72% on time (415 flights)72FebMar: 67% on time (403 flights)67MarApr: 83% on time (482 flights)83AprMay: 73% on time (487 flights)73MayJun: 74% on time (340 flights)74JunJul: 64% on time (337 flights)64JulAug: 63% on time (366 flights)63AugSep: 82% on time (314 flights)82SepOct: 81% on time (382 flights)81OctNov: 80% on time (421 flights)80NovDec: 77% on time (446 flights)77Dec

By day of week

DayFlightsOn timeCancelled
Monday23561%3.8%
Tuesday20578%1.5%
Wednesday20084%0.5%
Thursday22870%1.3%
Friday22978%0.9%
Saturday25372%1.2%
Sunday23161%3.9%

Why flights were late

Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.

Late inbound plane 52%Airline (crew, maintenance, ops) 27%Air traffic & airport (NAS) 17%Severe weather 4%

Cancellations: weather 24 · airline 3 · air traffic/airport 3

Month by month

50%75%100%Sep 2023Jan 2024Jan 2025Jan 2026Sep 2023: 72% on time, 0.0% cancelledOct 2023: 89% on time, 0.0% cancelledNov 2023: 80% on time, 0.0% cancelledDec 2023: 76% on time, 1.5% cancelledJan 2024: 79% on time, 0.8% cancelledFeb 2024: 73% on time, 0.8% cancelledMar 2024: 61% on time, 1.3% cancelledApr 2024: 81% on time, 0.7% cancelledMay 2024: 66% on time, 0.7% cancelledJun 2024: 78% on time, 0.0% cancelledAug 2024: 70% on time, 3.2% cancelledSep 2024: 89% on time, 0.0% cancelledOct 2024: 81% on time, 7.5% cancelledNov 2024: 89% on time, 0.0% cancelledDec 2024: 86% on time, 0.0% cancelledJan 2025: 82% on time, 0.8% cancelledFeb 2025: 80% on time, 1.4% cancelledMar 2025: 80% on time, 0.7% cancelledApr 2025: 87% on time, 0.0% cancelledMay 2025: 67% on time, 0.6% cancelledJun 2025: 68% on time, 0.0% cancelledJul 2025: 68% on time, 0.0% cancelledAug 2025: 58% on time, 0.0% cancelledOct 2025: 73% on time, 0.0% cancelledNov 2025: 72% on time, 0.7% cancelledDec 2025: 69% on time, 0.6% cancelledJan 2026: 72% on time, 4.6% cancelledFeb 2026: 63% on time, 7.6% cancelledMar 2026: 61% on time, 2.7% cancelledApr 2026: 81% on time, 0.0% cancelledMay 2026: 84% on time, 0.0% cancelledJun 2026: 76% on time, 0.9% cancelledJul 2026: 58% on time, 3.5% cancelledAug 2026: 59% on time, 2.6% cancelled
Share of flights on time, by month (hover a point for cancellations)
MCO → PVD, monthly on-time and cancellation rate.

Flight numbers on this route

Regular flights with at least 120 scheduled trips in the past year. Sorted by departure time.

FlightDepartsFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrivalOperated by
B6 28755:10 p.m.15263%2.6%+1 minJetBlue

Worst days in the past year

DateFlightsOn timeCancelled
Feb 23, 202660%6
Nov 9, 202550%0
Jan 1, 202650%0
Jan 25, 202650%5
Jul 6, 202640%1

Nearby airport alternatives

Other ways to make the same trip, using airports within 60 miles of Orlando or Providence. None has been clearly more reliable than MCO → PVD.

RouteFlightsOn timeCancelled
MCO → PVD (this route)1,58171%1.9%
MCO → BOS Orlando to Boston Logan4,61469%3.2%

Questions

How often are flights from MCO to PVD on time?

71% of 1,581 scheduled flights from Orlando, FL to Providence, RI arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 1.9% were cancelled.

What is the best time of day to fly MCO to PVD?

Flights scheduled to leave at 7 a.m. were the most reliable (90% on time). The 8 p.m. departures were the least (62%).

Which airline is most on time from MCO to PVD?

Southwest Airlines: 76% of its 896 flights on the route arrived on time. JetBlue: 65%.

What month has the most delays from MCO to PVD?

August (63% on time). The best month is April (83%), over 2023–2026.

Is the last flight of the day from MCO to PVD more likely to be cancelled?

Not much. Each airline's last MCO–PVD flight of the day was cancelled 2.2% of the time over the past year, against 1.9% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.

Related

Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.