ON TIMEBOARD

LAS → PAE on time

Las Vegas Harry Reid (Las Vegas, NV) to Seattle Paine (Everett, WA). Every scheduled flight, September 2025 to August 2026.

On time
81%
arrived < 15 min late
Cancelled
2.1%
635 flights
Typical arrival
−11 min
median vs schedule
When late
+54 min
average delay
Flights / day
2
2 airlines

81% of flights from Las Vegas to Everett arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is about the typical U.S. route. The 7 a.m. departures ran on time 88% of the time; the 7 p.m. ones 80%. 8% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.

How late?

The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for LAS → PAE: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 58% of the time. About 1 in 24 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 212 three hours or more; 2.0% were cancelled outright.

Share of all 635 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.

By airline

AirlineFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrival1h+ lateAvg when lateOperated by
Alaska Airlines60681%2.1%−11 min4.1%+53 minAlaska Airlines 73%, Horizon Air 27%
Frontier Airlines29—————Frontier Airlines

Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.

Best time of day to fly

On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at LAS). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.

40%70%100%7 a.m. departures: 88% on time (118 flights)887a8 a.m. departures: too few flights (10 flights)8a9 a.m. departures: too few flights9a10 a.m. departures: too few flights (70 flights)10a11 a.m. departures: too few flights11anoon departures: too few flights (8 flights)12p1 p.m. departures: too few flights (80 flights)1p2 p.m. departures: too few flights (14 flights)2p3 p.m. departures: too few flights (35 flights)3p4 p.m. departures: too few flights4p5 p.m. departures: too few flights (45 flights)5p6 p.m. departures: too few flights (1 flights)6p7 p.m. departures: 80% on time (112 flights)807p8 p.m. departures: too few flights (72 flights)8p9 p.m. departures: too few flights (70 flights)9p
LAS → PAE, share of flights arriving on time, by departure hour. Hours with under 100 flights are greyed out.
82%+ on time76–82%68–76%under 68%too few flights

By airline and hour

DepartsAlaska Airlines
7 a.m.88%
7 p.m.80%

Last flight of the day

On LAS → PAE, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 2.1% of the time, against 2.9% for its earlier flights, so here the last flight is actually the safer one. It arrived 3+ hours late 0.8% of the time (earlier flights: 0.4%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.

AirlineLast departureLast: cancelledLast: 3h+ lateEarlier: cancelledNext morning
Alaska Airlines7:50 p.m.2.1%0.8%2.9%first flight 12:44 p.m.

Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.

By month

Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: April (85%). Worst: January (70%).

40%70%100%Jan: 70% on time (150 flights)70JanFeb: 74% on time (141 flights)74FebMar: 77% on time (168 flights)77MarApr: 85% on time (165 flights)85AprMay: 83% on time (139 flights)83MayJun: 83% on time (128 flights)83JunJul: 81% on time (153 flights)81JulAug: 77% on time (155 flights)77AugSep: 74% on time (115 flights)74SepOct: 73% on time (142 flights)73OctNov: 75% on time (166 flights)75NovDec: 72% on time (158 flights)72Dec

By day of week

DayFlightsOn timeCancelled
Monday10177%4.0%
Tuesday76——
Wednesday75——
Thursday10582%0.9%
Friday96——
Saturday76——
Sunday10676%0.9%

Why flights were late

Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.

Late inbound plane 66%Airline (crew, maintenance, ops) 16%Air traffic & airport (NAS) 12%Severe weather 7%

Cancellations: airline 8 · weather 4 · air traffic/airport 1

Month by month

Not enough months with data to draw a trend.

Flight numbers on this route

Regular flights with at least 120 scheduled trips in the past year. Sorted by departure time.

FlightDepartsFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrivalOperated by
AS 3667:50 p.m.14578%2.1%−12 minAlaska Airlines

Worst days in the past year

DateFlightsOn timeCancelled
Oct 9, 202530%0
Oct 5, 2025333%0
Oct 12, 2025333%0
Dec 1, 2025367%0
Oct 23, 2025367%1

Nearby airport alternatives

Other ways to make the same trip, using airports within 60 miles of Las Vegas or Everett. None has been clearly more reliable than LAS → PAE.

RouteFlightsOn timeCancelled
LAS → PAE (this route)63581%2.1%
LAS → SEA Las Vegas Harry Reid to Seattle-Tacoma5,61781%1.0%

Questions

How often are flights from LAS to PAE on time?

81% of 635 scheduled flights from Las Vegas, NV to Everett, WA arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 2.1% were cancelled.

What is the best time of day to fly LAS to PAE?

Flights scheduled to leave at 7 a.m. were the most reliable (88% on time). The 7 p.m. departures were the least (80%).

What month has the most delays from LAS to PAE?

January (70% on time). The best month is April (85%), over 2023–2026.

Is the last flight of the day from LAS to PAE more likely to be cancelled?

No, the opposite. Each airline's last LAS–PAE flight of the day was cancelled 2.1% of the time over the past year, against 2.9% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.

Related

Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.