78% of flights from Baltimore to Providence arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is about the typical U.S. route. The 6 a.m. departures ran on time 94% of the time; the 10 p.m. ones 49%. 7% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.
How late?
The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for BWI → PVD: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 66% of the time. About 1 in 23 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 168 three hours or more; 2.3% were cancelled outright.
- On time or early78%
- 15–30 min late9.5%
- 30–60 min late6.0%
- 1–2 hours late3.0%
- 2–3 hours late0.9%
- 3+ hours late0.6%
- Diverted0.2%
- Cancelled2.3%
Share of all 1,846 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.
By airline
| Airline | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Typical arrival | 1h+ late | Avg when late | Operated by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Airlines | 1,846 | 78% | 2.3% | −6 min | 4.4% | +50 min | Southwest Airlines |
Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.
Best time of day to fly
On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at BWI). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.
Last flight of the day
On BWI → PVD, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 3.8% of the time, against 1.9% for its earlier flights (2.0× as often). It arrived 3+ hours late 1.4% of the time (earlier flights: 0.4%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.
| Airline | Last departure | Last: cancelled | Last: 3h+ late | Earlier: cancelled | Next morning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Airlines | 7:25 p.m. | 3.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | first flight 7:10 a.m. |
Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.
If you need to be in PVD tonight, book an earlier flight so there's a backup if it's cancelled.
By month
Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: November (83%). Worst: July (63%).
By day of week
| Day | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 281 | 76% | 4.6% |
| Tuesday | 261 | 83% | 2.7% |
| Wednesday | 259 | 88% | 0.0% |
| Thursday | 272 | 77% | 1.1% |
| Friday | 278 | 76% | 1.8% |
| Saturday | 227 | 79% | 1.3% |
| Sunday | 268 | 66% | 4.1% |
Why flights were late
Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.
Cancellations: weather 30 · airline 8 · air traffic/airport 4
Month by month
Worst days in the past year
| Date | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2026 | 5 | 0% | 5 |
| Jul 18, 2026 | 5 | 0% | 2 |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 5 | 0% | 4 |
| Feb 24, 2026 | 4 | 0% | 2 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 6 | 17% | 0 |
Nearby airport alternatives
Other ways to make the same trip, using airports within 60 miles of Baltimore or Providence. None has been clearly more reliable than BWI → PVD.
| Route | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| BWI → PVD (this route) | 1,846 | 78% | 2.3% |
| IAD → PVD Washington Dulles to Rhode Island T. F. Green | 1,158 | 77% | 2.3% |
| IAD → BOS Washington Dulles to Boston Logan | 1,524 | 75% | 2.8% |
| BWI → BOS Baltimore/Washington to Boston Logan | 3,540 | 72% | 3.2% |
| DCA → PVD Washington Reagan National to Rhode Island T. F. Green | 2,426 | 69% | 5.2% |
| DCA → BOS Washington Reagan National to Boston Logan | 9,104 | 67% | 4.3% |
Questions
How often are flights from BWI to PVD on time?
78% of 1,846 scheduled flights from Baltimore, MD to Providence, RI arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 2.3% were cancelled.
What is the best time of day to fly BWI to PVD?
Flights scheduled to leave at 6 a.m. were the most reliable (94% on time). The 10 p.m. departures were the least (49%).
What month has the most delays from BWI to PVD?
July (63% on time). The best month is November (83%), over 2023–2026.
Is the last flight of the day from BWI to PVD more likely to be cancelled?
Yes. Each airline's last BWI–PVD flight of the day was cancelled 3.8% of the time over the past year, against 1.9% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.
Related
- PVD → BWI (return)
- Baltimore/Washington (BWI) delays by hour
- Flights into Rhode Island T. F. Green (PVD)
- Southwest Airlines on-time record
- Connecting off this flight? Check the risk
Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.