84% of flights from Burbank to Oakland arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is better than the typical U.S. route. The 7 a.m. departures ran on time 96% of the time; the 8 p.m. ones 73%. 6% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.
How late?
The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for BUR → OAK: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 55% of the time. About 1 in 21 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 299 three hours or more; 0.9% were cancelled outright.
- On time or early84%
- 15–30 min late5.5%
- 30–60 min late4.7%
- 1–2 hours late3.7%
- 2–3 hours late0.8%
- 3+ hours late0.3%
- Diverted0.0%
- Cancelled0.9%
Share of all 2,694 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.
By airline
| Airline | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Typical arrival | 1h+ late | Avg when late | Operated by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Airlines | 2,694 | 84% | 0.9% | −11 min | 4.9% | +55 min | Southwest Airlines |
Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.
Best time of day to fly
On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at BUR). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.
Last flight of the day
On BUR → OAK, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 0.0% of the time, against 1.1% for its earlier flights, so here the last flight is actually the safer one. It arrived 3+ hours late 0.0% of the time (earlier flights: 0.4%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.
| Airline | Last departure | Last: cancelled | Last: 3h+ late | Earlier: cancelled | Next morning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Airlines | 8:10 p.m. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.1% | first flight 7:12 a.m. |
Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.
By month
Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: January (90%). Worst: June (81%).
By day of week
| Day | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 435 | 81% | 1.6% |
| Tuesday | 361 | 87% | 1.1% |
| Wednesday | 360 | 88% | 1.1% |
| Thursday | 427 | 86% | 1.2% |
| Friday | 426 | 80% | 0.7% |
| Saturday | 287 | 92% | 0.0% |
| Sunday | 398 | 77% | 0.5% |
Why flights were late
Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.
Cancellations: airline 11 · weather 9 · air traffic/airport 5
Month by month
Worst days in the past year
| Date | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 24, 2025 | 6 | 17% | 2 |
| Feb 16, 2026 | 8 | 25% | 2 |
| Dec 26, 2025 | 7 | 29% | 0 |
| May 18, 2026 | 8 | 38% | 0 |
| Sep 26, 2025 | 10 | 40% | 1 |
Nearby airport alternatives
Other ways to make the same trip, using airports within 60 miles of Burbank or Oakland. LGB → OAK has been 4 points more reliable.
| Route | Flights | On time | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUR → OAK (this route) | 2,694 | 84% | 0.9% |
| LGB → OAK Long Beach to Oakland | 1,568 | 88% | 0.4% |
| ONT → SJC Ontario to San Jose | 1,320 | 86% | 0.1% |
| LGB → SJC Long Beach to San Jose | 1,251 | 86% | 0.2% |
| ONT → OAK Ontario to Oakland | 1,450 | 86% | 0.5% |
| SNA → SJC Orange County John Wayne to San Jose | 2,677 | 85% | 0.8% |
| BUR → SJC Hollywood Burbank to San Jose | 2,133 | 85% | 1.2% |
Questions
How often are flights from BUR to OAK on time?
84% of 2,694 scheduled flights from Burbank, CA to Oakland, CA arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 0.9% were cancelled.
What is the best time of day to fly BUR to OAK?
Flights scheduled to leave at 7 a.m. were the most reliable (96% on time). The 8 p.m. departures were the least (73%).
What month has the most delays from BUR to OAK?
June (81% on time). The best month is January (90%), over 2023–2026.
Is the last flight of the day from BUR to OAK more likely to be cancelled?
No, the opposite. Each airline's last BUR–OAK flight of the day was cancelled 0.0% of the time over the past year, against 1.1% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.
Related
- OAK → BUR (return)
- Hollywood Burbank (BUR) delays by hour
- Flights into Oakland (OAK)
- Southwest Airlines on-time record
- Connecting off this flight? Check the risk
Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.