ON TIMEBOARD

BNA → STL on time

Nashville (Nashville, TN) to St. Louis Lambert (St. Louis, MO). Every scheduled flight, September 2025 to August 2026.

On time
77%
arrived < 15 min late
Cancelled
0.8%
1,282 flights
Typical arrival
−6 min
median vs schedule
When late
+52 min
average delay
Flights / day
4
1 airline

77% of flights from Nashville to St. Louis arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is about the typical U.S. route. The 7 a.m. departures ran on time 93% of the time; the 6 p.m. ones 62%. 7% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.

How late?

The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for BNA → STL: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 59% of the time. About 1 in 16 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 214 three hours or more; 0.8% were cancelled outright.

Share of all 1,282 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.

By airline

AirlineFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrival1h+ lateAvg when lateOperated by
Southwest Airlines1,28277%0.8%−6 min6.2%+52 minSouthwest Airlines

Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.

Best time of day to fly

On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at BNA). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.

40%70%100%6 a.m. departures: 93% on time (161 flights)936a7 a.m. departures: 93% on time (114 flights)937a8 a.m. departures: too few flights (65 flights)8a9 a.m. departures: too few flights (13 flights)9a10 a.m. departures: too few flights (25 flights)10a11 a.m. departures: too few flights (52 flights)11anoon departures: too few flights (54 flights)12p1 p.m. departures: 74% on time (115 flights)741p2 p.m. departures: too few flights (41 flights)2p3 p.m. departures: too few flights (34 flights)3p4 p.m. departures: too few flights (17 flights)4p5 p.m. departures: too few flights (78 flights)5p6 p.m. departures: 62% on time (117 flights)626p7 p.m. departures: too few flights (91 flights)7p8 p.m. departures: 75% on time (106 flights)758p9 p.m. departures: 75% on time (131 flights)759p10 p.m. departures: too few flights (67 flights)10p
BNA → STL, share of flights arriving on time, by departure hour. Hours with under 100 flights are greyed out.
82%+ on time76–82%68–76%under 68%too few flights

Last flight of the day

On BNA → STL, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 1.1% of the time, against 0.7% for its earlier flights (1.7× as often). It arrived 3+ hours late 0.5% of the time (earlier flights: 0.4%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.

AirlineLast departureLast: cancelledLast: 3h+ lateEarlier: cancelledNext morning
Southwest Airlines9:30 p.m.1.1%0.5%0.7%first flight 6:25 a.m.

Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.

If you need to be in STL tonight, book an earlier flight so there's a backup if it's cancelled.

By month

Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: February (88%). Worst: July (71%).

40%70%100%Jan: 82% on time (284 flights)82JanFeb: 88% on time (265 flights)88FebMar: 83% on time (321 flights)83MarApr: 80% on time (331 flights)80AprMay: 72% on time (345 flights)72MayJun: 77% on time (307 flights)77JunJul: 71% on time (311 flights)71JulAug: 81% on time (326 flights)81AugSep: 87% on time (314 flights)87SepOct: 83% on time (367 flights)83OctNov: 86% on time (318 flights)86NovDec: 83% on time (316 flights)83Dec

By day of week

DayFlightsOn timeCancelled
Monday20570%1.0%
Tuesday19480%0.5%
Wednesday18985%0.0%
Thursday19872%0.5%
Friday20378%0.5%
Saturday11884%1.7%
Sunday17570%1.7%

Why flights were late

Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.

Late inbound plane 67%Airline (crew, maintenance, ops) 24%Air traffic & airport (NAS) 7%Severe weather 3%

Cancellations: weather 8 · airline 1 · air traffic/airport 1

Month by month

50%75%100%Sep 2023Jan 2024Jan 2025Jan 2026Oct 2023: 86% on time, 0.0% cancelledNov 2023: 87% on time, 0.0% cancelledDec 2023: 82% on time, 0.0% cancelledMar 2024: 85% on time, 1.0% cancelledApr 2024: 84% on time, 0.0% cancelledMay 2024: 77% on time, 0.0% cancelledAug 2024: 88% on time, 0.0% cancelledSep 2024: 90% on time, 0.0% cancelledOct 2024: 92% on time, 0.8% cancelledNov 2024: 91% on time, 0.0% cancelledMar 2025: 81% on time, 1.9% cancelledApr 2025: 79% on time, 0.8% cancelledMay 2025: 74% on time, 3.1% cancelledJun 2025: 78% on time, 0.0% cancelledJul 2025: 75% on time, 1.0% cancelledAug 2025: 89% on time, 1.8% cancelledSep 2025: 91% on time, 0.0% cancelledOct 2025: 70% on time, 0.0% cancelledNov 2025: 80% on time, 0.0% cancelledDec 2025: 77% on time, 1.0% cancelledMar 2026: 84% on time, 1.8% cancelledApr 2026: 77% on time, 0.0% cancelledMay 2026: 65% on time, 0.9% cancelledJun 2026: 76% on time, 0.9% cancelledJul 2026: 67% on time, 0.9% cancelledAug 2026: 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled
Share of flights on time, by month (hover a point for cancellations)
BNA → STL, monthly on-time and cancellation rate.

Worst days in the past year

DateFlightsOn timeCancelled
Aug 6, 202640%0
Jan 25, 202640%2
Nov 29, 202530%0
Aug 20, 2026425%0
Aug 11, 2026425%0

Questions

How often are flights from BNA to STL on time?

77% of 1,282 scheduled flights from Nashville, TN to St. Louis, MO arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 0.8% were cancelled.

What is the best time of day to fly BNA to STL?

Flights scheduled to leave at 7 a.m. were the most reliable (93% on time). The 6 p.m. departures were the least (62%).

What month has the most delays from BNA to STL?

July (71% on time). The best month is February (88%), over 2023–2026.

Is the last flight of the day from BNA to STL more likely to be cancelled?

Yes. Each airline's last BNA–STL flight of the day was cancelled 1.1% of the time over the past year, against 0.7% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.

Related

Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.