ON TIMEBOARD

BNA → DCA on time

Nashville (Nashville, TN) to Washington Reagan National (Washington, DC). Every scheduled flight, September 2025 to August 2026.

On time
69%
arrived < 15 min late
Cancelled
3.1%
4,387 flights
Typical arrival
−1 min
median vs schedule
When late
+65 min
average delay
Flights / day
12
3 airlines

69% of flights from Nashville to Washington arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is worse than the typical U.S. route. The 5 a.m. departures ran on time 90% of the time; the 6 p.m. ones 47%. Most reliable airline: Delta Air Lines (75%). 13% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.

How late?

The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for BNA → DCA: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 57% of the time. About 1 in 11 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 64 three hours or more; 3.1% were cancelled outright.

Share of all 4,387 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.

By airline

AirlineFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrival1h+ lateAvg when lateOperated by
Southwest Airlines1,70867%1.5%+1 min8.1%+52 minSouthwest Airlines
American Airlines1,68966%5.5%−1 min10.5%+81 minRepublic Airways 51%, PSA Airlines 24%, American Airlines 17%, Envoy 9%
Delta Air Lines99075%1.8%−5 min7.6%+65 minRepublic Airways

Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.

Best time of day to fly

On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at BNA). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.

40%70%100%5 a.m. departures: 90% on time (136 flights)905a6 a.m. departures: 76% on time (665 flights)766a7 a.m. departures: 89% on time (112 flights)897a8 a.m. departures: 89% on time (132 flights)898a9 a.m. departures: 80% on time (310 flights)809a10 a.m. departures: 77% on time (239 flights)7710a11 a.m. departures: 67% on time (316 flights)6711anoon departures: 72% on time (380 flights)7212p1 p.m. departures: 51% on time (130 flights)511p2 p.m. departures: too few flights (30 flights)2p3 p.m. departures: 62% on time (435 flights)623p4 p.m. departures: 58% on time (224 flights)584p5 p.m. departures: 62% on time (497 flights)625p6 p.m. departures: 47% on time (176 flights)476p7 p.m. departures: 60% on time (289 flights)607p8 p.m. departures: 60% on time (231 flights)608p9 p.m. departures: too few flights (85 flights)9p
BNA → DCA, share of flights arriving on time, by departure hour. Hours with under 100 flights are greyed out.
82%+ on time76–82%68–76%under 68%too few flights

By airline and hour

DepartsSouthwest AirlinesAmerican AirlinesDelta Air Lines
6 a.m.—76%80%
7 a.m.91%——
9 a.m.79%83%—
10 a.m.—76%—
11 a.m.59%—73%
noon70%—75%
3 p.m.60%63%—
4 p.m.58%——
5 p.m.—62%68%
6 p.m.—43%—
7 p.m.—58%—
8 p.m.55%67%—

Last flight of the day

On BNA → DCA, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 3.8% of the time, against 2.9% for its earlier flights (1.3× as often). It arrived 3+ hours late 2.0% of the time (earlier flights: 1.5%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.

AirlineLast departureLast: cancelledLast: 3h+ lateEarlier: cancelledNext morning
American Airlines7:32 p.m.7.1%2.5%5.0%first flight 6:04 a.m.
Delta Air Lines5:00 p.m.3.2%1.7%1.1%first flight 6:05 a.m.
Southwest Airlines8:30 p.m.1.1%1.7%1.6%first flight 5:45 a.m.

Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.

If you need to be in DCA tonight, book an earlier flight so there's a backup if it's cancelled.

By month

Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: October (84%). Worst: July (62%).

40%70%100%Jan: 69% on time (1,044 flights)69JanFeb: 66% on time (1,009 flights)66FebMar: 72% on time (1,116 flights)72MarApr: 80% on time (1,084 flights)80AprMay: 71% on time (1,119 flights)71MayJun: 69% on time (1,052 flights)69JunJul: 62% on time (1,075 flights)62JulAug: 75% on time (1,075 flights)75AugSep: 81% on time (983 flights)81SepOct: 84% on time (1,104 flights)84OctNov: 82% on time (1,030 flights)82NovDec: 76% on time (989 flights)76Dec

By day of week

DayFlightsOn timeCancelled
Monday67768%4.3%
Tuesday66469%4.4%
Wednesday66174%1.4%
Thursday65064%2.0%
Friday65463%2.8%
Saturday44182%3.9%
Sunday64065%3.3%

Why flights were late

Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.

Late inbound plane 41%Air traffic & airport (NAS) 34%Airline (crew, maintenance, ops) 22%Severe weather 3%

Cancellations: weather 80 · air traffic/airport 44 · airline 12

Month by month

30%65%100%Sep 2023Jan 2024Jan 2025Jan 2026Sep 2023: 83% on time, 1.7% cancelledOct 2023: 87% on time, 0.0% cancelledNov 2023: 89% on time, 0.0% cancelledDec 2023: 83% on time, 0.3% cancelledJan 2024: 68% on time, 9.6% cancelledFeb 2024: 85% on time, 0.0% cancelledMar 2024: 90% on time, 0.0% cancelledApr 2024: 88% on time, 0.0% cancelledMay 2024: 75% on time, 0.5% cancelledJun 2024: 79% on time, 0.9% cancelledJul 2024: 73% on time, 1.1% cancelledAug 2024: 77% on time, 2.5% cancelledSep 2024: 81% on time, 0.6% cancelledOct 2024: 86% on time, 0.0% cancelledNov 2024: 89% on time, 0.0% cancelledDec 2024: 75% on time, 0.3% cancelledJan 2025: 70% on time, 11.1% cancelledFeb 2025: 45% on time, 9.6% cancelledMar 2025: 70% on time, 1.8% cancelledApr 2025: 75% on time, 0.5% cancelledMay 2025: 66% on time, 3.2% cancelledJun 2025: 65% on time, 6.7% cancelledJul 2025: 60% on time, 12.5% cancelledAug 2025: 82% on time, 1.7% cancelledSep 2025: 79% on time, 0.6% cancelledOct 2025: 79% on time, 0.3% cancelledNov 2025: 69% on time, 1.9% cancelledDec 2025: 70% on time, 0.3% cancelledJan 2026: 70% on time, 10.0% cancelledFeb 2026: 67% on time, 3.2% cancelledMar 2026: 58% on time, 3.9% cancelledApr 2026: 78% on time, 0.3% cancelledMay 2026: 72% on time, 0.8% cancelledJun 2026: 65% on time, 3.5% cancelledJul 2026: 52% on time, 7.5% cancelledAug 2026: 66% on time, 4.5% cancelled
Share of flights on time, by month (hover a point for cancellations)
BNA → DCA, monthly on-time and cancellation rate.

Flight numbers on this route

Regular flights with at least 120 scheduled trips in the past year. Sorted by departure time.

FlightDepartsFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrivalOperated by
DL 57086:05 a.m.30082%1.3%−10 minRepublic Airways

Worst days in the past year

DateFlightsOn timeCancelled
May 25, 2026130%0
Jan 25, 2026120%12
Jan 26, 2026138%11
Mar 5, 2026138%0
Jul 28, 20261315%7

Nearby airport alternatives

Other ways to make the same trip, using airports within 60 miles of Nashville or Washington. BNA → IAD has been 8 points more reliable.

RouteFlightsOn timeCancelled
BNA → DCA (this route)4,38769%3.1%
BNA → IAD Nashville to Washington Dulles1,01677%1.2%
BNA → BWI Nashville to Baltimore/Washington1,79475%1.7%

Questions

How often are flights from BNA to DCA on time?

69% of 4,387 scheduled flights from Nashville, TN to Washington, DC arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 3.1% were cancelled.

What is the best time of day to fly BNA to DCA?

Flights scheduled to leave at 5 a.m. were the most reliable (90% on time). The 6 p.m. departures were the least (47%).

Which airline is most on time from BNA to DCA?

Delta Air Lines: 75% of its 990 flights on the route arrived on time. Southwest Airlines: 67%. American Airlines: 66%.

What month has the most delays from BNA to DCA?

July (62% on time). The best month is October (84%), over 2023–2026.

Is the last flight of the day from BNA to DCA more likely to be cancelled?

Yes. Each airline's last BNA–DCA flight of the day was cancelled 3.8% of the time over the past year, against 2.9% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.

Related

Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.