ON TIMEBOARD

BDL → MSP on time

Bradley (Hartford, CT) to Minneapolis-St. Paul (Minneapolis, MN). Every scheduled flight, September 2025 to August 2026.

On time
80%
arrived < 15 min late
Cancelled
2.5%
837 flights
Typical arrival
−7 min
median vs schedule
When late
+69 min
average delay
Flights / day
2
1 airline

80% of flights from Hartford to Minneapolis arrived on time over the past 12 months. That is about the typical U.S. route. The 11 a.m. departures ran on time 83% of the time; the 3 p.m. ones 77%. 8% of flights arrived more than an hour late or not at all.

How late?

The on-time rate treats a flight 20 minutes late the same as one 5 hours late. Here's the split for BDL → MSP: when a flight was late, it was under 45 minutes late 58% of the time. About 1 in 19 flights landed an hour or more late, and 1 in 105 three hours or more; 2.5% were cancelled outright.

Share of all 837 scheduled flights, past 12 months, by arrival time against schedule.

By airline

AirlineFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrival1h+ lateAvg when lateOperated by
Delta Air Lines83780%2.5%−7 min5.3%+69 minDelta Air Lines

Airline = the name on the ticket. Regional flights (e.g. "Delta Connection") count under the ticketing airline, and the operator is listed.

Best time of day to fly

On-time rate by scheduled departure hour (local time at BDL). Delays build through the day as late planes knock on, so early flights usually do best.

40%70%100%6 a.m. departures: 81% on time (307 flights)816a7 a.m. departures: too few flights (57 flights)7a8 a.m. departures: too few flights8a9 a.m. departures: too few flights9a10 a.m. departures: too few flights10a11 a.m. departures: 83% on time (131 flights)8311anoon departures: too few flights12p1 p.m. departures: too few flights1p2 p.m. departures: too few flights (17 flights)2p3 p.m. departures: 77% on time (169 flights)773p4 p.m. departures: too few flights4p5 p.m. departures: too few flights (23 flights)5p6 p.m. departures: too few flights (88 flights)6p7 p.m. departures: too few flights (45 flights)7p
BDL → MSP, share of flights arriving on time, by departure hour. Hours with under 100 flights are greyed out.
82%+ on time76–82%68–76%under 68%too few flights

Last flight of the day

On BDL → MSP, each airline's last flight of the day was cancelled 3.2% of the time, against 2.1% for its earlier flights (1.5× as often). It arrived 3+ hours late 2.1% of the time (earlier flights: 0.2%). It matters more than the numbers suggest. Miss an earlier flight and there's another one that evening; miss the last one and you're usually waiting until morning.

AirlineLast departureLast: cancelledLast: 3h+ lateEarlier: cancelledNext morning
Delta Air Lines6:59 p.m.3.2%2.1%2.1%first flight 7:35 a.m.

Last flight = the airline's last scheduled departure on this route that day, on days it flies the route at least twice; past 12 months. Times are typical scheduled times over the latest three months.

If you need to be in MSP tonight, book an earlier flight so there's a backup if it's cancelled.

By month

Each calendar month pooled over 2023–2026. Best: October (90%). Worst: June (75%).

40%70%100%Jan: 80% on time (174 flights)80JanFeb: 80% on time (158 flights)80FebMar: 88% on time (180 flights)88MarApr: 81% on time (178 flights)81AprMay: 87% on time (247 flights)87MayJun: 75% on time (253 flights)75JunJul: 79% on time (256 flights)79JulAug: 80% on time (254 flights)80AugSep: 89% on time (235 flights)89SepOct: 90% on time (246 flights)90OctNov: 86% on time (210 flights)86NovDec: 81% on time (194 flights)81Dec

By day of week

DayFlightsOn timeCancelled
Monday12776%4.7%
Tuesday12485%2.4%
Wednesday12387%0.8%
Thursday12481%0.0%
Friday12782%1.6%
Saturday90——
Sunday12271%6.6%

Why flights were late

Share of delay minutes on flights 15+ minutes late, as reported to BTS by the airlines.

Airline (crew, maintenance, ops) 57%Late inbound plane 25%Air traffic & airport (NAS) 15%Severe weather 3%

Cancellations: airline 11 · weather 10

Month by month

Not enough months with data to draw a trend.

Flight numbers on this route

Regular flights with at least 120 scheduled trips in the past year. Sorted by departure time.

FlightDepartsFlightsOn timeCancelledTypical arrivalOperated by
DL 13306:00 a.m.36482%2.2%−6 minDelta Air Lines
DL 20073:00 p.m.33278%3.9%−10 minDelta Air Lines

Worst days in the past year

DateFlightsOn timeCancelled
Oct 20, 202530%0
Aug 11, 2026333%0
Aug 3, 2026333%1
Sep 21, 2025333%0
Jul 9, 2026333%0

Questions

How often are flights from BDL to MSP on time?

80% of 837 scheduled flights from Hartford, CT to Minneapolis, MN arrived within 15 minutes of schedule between September 2025 and August 2026. 2.5% were cancelled.

What is the best time of day to fly BDL to MSP?

Flights scheduled to leave at 11 a.m. were the most reliable (83% on time). The 3 p.m. departures were the least (77%).

What month has the most delays from BDL to MSP?

June (75% on time). The best month is October (90%), over 2023–2026.

Is the last flight of the day from BDL to MSP more likely to be cancelled?

Yes. Each airline's last BDL–MSP flight of the day was cancelled 3.2% of the time over the past year, against 2.1% for its earlier flights. If the last flight is cancelled, the next one is usually the following morning.

Related

Domestic flights by the airlines that report to the U.S. DOT, plus their regional partners. "On time" means arriving less than 15 minutes after schedule; cancelled and diverted flights count as not on time. Past performance is a guide, not a forecast. Method.